Donald Rumsfeld Known And Unknown Pdf
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- Known and Unknown: A Memoir
- How to Discover Your Unknown Knowns
- Classification of Unknowns and Risk Scenarios
Feb 08, Minutes Buy. Few Americans have spent more time near the center of power than Donald Rumsfeld, whose widely commented-on memoir offers many previously undisclosed details about his service with four U. We follow his rise from a middle-class childhood to the Navy to a seat in the U.
Known and Unknown: A Memoir
We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. We geophysicists and geologists are generally not eager to compare ourselves with politicians. We are, after all, scientists who come to an understanding of nature from evidence of what is true rather from what we want to be true. In both the political and geophysical situations, definite conclusions need to be made despite the lack of hard and fast evidence. Furthermore, in both cases the lack of definitive evidence is no reason for not clinging strongly to belief in the truth of the conclusions.
This saying is typically used to conduct risk management analysis by splitting the upcoming obstacles into 3 categories:. These pose less of a risk, as they are facts we are confident in. But wait… what about the unknown knowns? The unknown knowns quadrant is often overlooked or just misinterpreted. Think about your mother tongue. You can easily formulate any thought to an accurate sentence. As English is not my first language, I had to study it for years.
How to Discover Your Unknown Knowns
Risk is managed through developing design strategies that accommodate the least common denominator. Design should deal with any unforeseen changes through a neutral approach to the workplace. At the same time, organizations are facing the need to develop workplace design strategies that are more relevant to hiring and retaining their critical workforce. In the business environment, competition for talent is fierce and migrates across industries. Anticipatory design offers strategies for how to approach the development of a workplace that addresses these needs. This forecasting helps ward off disruptive changes to business models.
Managing Uncertainty, Mitigating Risk pp Cite as. While we have introduced risk and its mathematics, probability, its history and impact on modern finance and financial risk management, all areas which are generally well known, the need to broaden the discussion to include a wider range of the unknown requires a significant departure from previously used methods. In particular, we need to define and characterise types of the unknown, given that some unknowns are merely random, some are capable of deep and possibly quantitative analytical treatment, while others will be far from accessible. We then must introduce knowledge, its hierarchies and the use of a wide swathe of knowledge to reduce the unknown. Unable to display preview.
According to a recent LinkedIn survey, Millennials are twice as likely to switch jobs vs Gen X in the first 5 years after graduating college. And alongside major shifts in technology and business practices is growing perceived danger in the workforce. Plenty of resources are available for helping you pick a linear career path. Their goal was to de-risk their project by shifting more risks from the unknown into the known territory. There are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know.
Classification of Unknowns and Risk Scenarios
During the U. Department of Defense News briefing on February 12, , Secretary Donald Rumsfeld was asked to discuss if there was any evidence to indicate that Iraq had attempted to or was willing to supply terrorists with weapons of mass destruction. There were some reports saying that there was no evidence of a direct link between Baghdad and some of the terrorist organizations.
Department of Defense DoD news briefing on February 12, , about the lack of evidence linking the government of Iraq with the supply of weapons of mass destruction to terrorist groups. Reports that say that something hasn't happened are always interesting to me, because as we know, there are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know.
Стратмор повернулся и с удивлением увидел Хейла. Сьюзан поняла, в чем дело: все это время Хейл вел себя тихо, подозрительно тихо, поскольку отлично знал, что нет такой диагностики, в которой использовалась бы цепная мутация, тем более такая, которая занимала ТРАНСТЕКСТ уже восемнадцать часов. Хейл не проронил ни слова. Казалось, вспыхнувшая на его глазах перепалка абсолютно его не касается. Очевидно, Стратмор вдруг задумался:. У Сьюзан имелся на это ответ.
Хейл пожал плечами: - Зато он не имеет ничего против твоего присутствия. Тебе он всегда рад. Сьюзан заставила себя промолчать. Хейл хмыкнул себе под нос и убрал упаковку тофу. Затем взял бутылку оливкового масла и прямо из горлышка отпил несколько глотков. Он считал себя большим знатоком всего, что способствовало укреплению здоровья, и утверждал, что оливковое масло очищает кишечник. Он вечно навязывал что-то коллегам, например морковный сок, и убеждал их, что нет ничего важнее безукоризненного состояния кишечника.
Бледно-зеленый пол мерцал в сиянии ламп дневного света, то попадая в фокус, то как бы проваливаясь. Лампы зловеще гудели. На стене криво висело баскетбольное кольцо. Пол был уставлен десятками больничных коек. В дальнем углу, прямо под табло, которое когда-то показывало счет проходивших здесь матчей, он увидел слегка покосившуюся телефонную будку.
Фонтейн не мог понять, в чем дело, но, какими бы ни были причины ее состояния, выяснять это сейчас не было времени.